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May 10, 2012
[SSJ: 7450] Re: A couple of reasons why the electricity has kept flowing despite the nuclear shutdowns
From: Paul Midford
Date: 2012/05/10
PM: " Responding to Jun Okumura's point about not betting when the odds are against him, is that because I want to bet on 5 reactors restarting, instead of 4, or because he has changed his estimate of the likelyhood of even 4 restarting?"
JO: "Did I give any indication that I was backing off from my bid of 4 reactors? (I'll later respond to other points raised in this forum, but not today.)"
More for the sake of betting lunch with Jun Okumura than winning per se, I accept a bet for lunch in Tokyo regarding the possible restart of 4 reactors this calendar year, based on the conditions previously laid out.
I will respond to Jun Okumura's other points later.
Cheers,
Paul Midford
Approved by ssjmod at 10:46 AM