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September 22, 2011

[SSJ: 6872] Shaken Soc Sci Diss Workshop on September 29-trade politics

From: John Campbell
Date: 2011/09/22

The ISS social science dissertation workshop is back on its regular schedule (last Thursday of the month) with a meeting on September 29.* Presenting will be June Park, who is getting her PhD in political science at Boston University and is about to finish a residence at Shaken. She works on International Political Economy (IPE), and her dissertation is on "Unraveling the U.S.
Trade Deficit Challenge in China, Japan, and Korea:
Bilateral Trade Imbalances, Protectionism, and Currency Wars." For us, she will talk about her second chapter, which analyzes why the United States brings (and has
brought) trade disputes with China, Japan, and South Korea to the WTO dispute settlement mechanisms for resolution. Previous IPE research has linked such dispute resolution initiations by the US to exchange-rate appreciation. June argues that trade deficits are another motive, because they lead to domestic demands for action on American policymakers.
She takes WTO dispute initiation as a proxy of US trade protectionism.

June's analysis is based on analysis of the GATT/WTO dispute archives plus US trade deficit data, using a Poisson regression model (or a negative binomial regression model). Given the usual participants in our workshop and our ground rules (e.g. no Powerpoint), I anticipate the discussion will center more on the logic of June's argument and how trade politics works and less on the statistical methodology. I hope you can come--in either case, I'd appreciate your letting me know.

Yours, jc

*Meetings of the Shaken Social Science Dissertation Workshop start at 12 pm and go to 1:30 and sometimes beyond. The Institute of Social Science provides coffee and tea and you are welcome to bring lunch. The location is a seminar room on the 5th floor in the Akamon General Research (Sougou Kenkyuu) Building.
The building is down a little passage to the right
after you come through Akamon. For a map, go to:

http://www.u-tokyo.ac.jp/campusmap/cam01_08_02_e.html
__________________________
>From John Creighton Campbell
Professor Emeritus of Political Science
University of Michigan
Visiting Scholar, Institute of Gerontology Tokyo University jccamp at umich.edu

Approved by ssjmod at 02:56 PM